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NDLS Rule Check

Noodles & Co against the rules: which it passes, where it lags and what to look at next.

Price
$12.15
Market Cap
$72.5 M
Next Earnings
Today

Flags First

5Rules Failed5Cautions
  • Market CapFail
  • LiquidityFail
  • ProfitabilityFail
  • Current RatioFail
  • Debt / EquityFail
  • +5 More

Fit ScoreScreened Out

Hits at least one elimination rule; under this approach it stays off the research list whatever its score.

64% of Rules Measured

Company Analysis

Stock Selection Focus · Tool: Claude

Claude writes a second opinion independent of the site's own analysis; while the market is open it reads the live price.

Categories

Growth50Weight 30 · 1 of 4 Measured
Price Strength67Weight 20 · 3 of 4 Measured
Profitability25Weight 15 · 2 of 2 Measured
Financial Health33Weight 15 · 3 of 3 Measured
Ownership75Weight 10 · 2 of 3 Measured
Catalyst SignalsNo DataWeight 10 · 0 of 3 Measured

Elimination · FailMarket Cap, Liquidity

Rule by Rule

64% of Rules Measured

Elimination

3 of 3 Measured
  • Market CapAt least $300M$72.5 MFail
  • Share PriceAt least $5$12.15Pass
  • Liquidity500K shares and $10M traded per day on average47.9 K SharesFail

Growth

1 of 4 Measured
  • Quarterly EPS GrowthAt least 10% year over year–No Data
  • Quarterly Sales GrowthAt least 10% year over year+ 0.5%Caution
  • Three-Year EPS GrowthAt least 10% annualized–No Data
  • Source of GrowthSales should grow at least 5% while profit grows+ 0.5%No Data

Profitability

2 of 2 Measured
  • ProfitabilityPositive trailing twelve-month EPS− $3.99Fail
  • MarginsGross, operating and net margins positive−2.6%Caution

Financial Health

3 of 3 Measured
  • Current RatioAt least 1 — current assets cover current liabilities0.29Fail
  • Debt / EquityAt most 1; above 2 fails24.21Fail
  • Cash RunwayPositive free cash flow or at least two years of cash–Pass

Price Strength

3 of 4 Measured
  • Versus the MarketSix-month return not behind the S&P 500− 5.6 PtsCaution
  • Versus Its SectorSix-month return not behind the sector fund–No Data
  • Distance from 52-Week LowAt least 30% above the low240.3%Pass
  • Distance from 52-Week HighAt most 25% below the high36.1%Caution

Ownership

2 of 3 Measured
  • DilutionShare count up at most 2% a year− 87.2%Pass
  • Famous Fund InterestAmong tracked funds, adders not outnumbered by trimmers–No Data
  • Insider ActivityNo heavy net selling over six months−61Caution

Catalyst Signals

0 of 3 Measured
  • Analyst TrendShare of buy ratings rising over three months0.0 PtsNo Data
  • Upside to TargetAt least 10% to the average target–No Data
  • Quality of the Last ReportEarnings analysis score of at least 60–No Data

In each lane the dark notch is the rule's threshold; the bar runs from it to the stock's value, its length the gap and its colour the rule's status. Market cap, price and volume use a log scale: one step is ten times. A value beyond the end fills the lane to its edge; the number is written beside it.

Rule Bench

45ScoreScreened Out
  • 4Passed
  • 5Caution
  • 5Failed
  • 8No Data
NDLS

Each lamp is a rule: green passed, amber caution, red failed, grey no data. Tap a station to see its rules.

Weaknesses

  • Market cap of $72.5 M, below the $300M floor; hits the elimination rule.
  • Thin trading: about 47.9 K shares a day.
  • Trailing EPS of − $3.99; the company is losing money.
  • Current ratio of 0.29; short-term liabilities exceed current assets.
  • Debt to equity of 24.21; a heavy debt load.
  • Sales changed + 0.5% year over year last quarter, below the 10% floor.
  • At least one margin is negative; operating margin −2.6%.
  • Trailed the S&P 500 by 5.6 points over six months.
  • The price is 36.1% below its 52-week high.
  • Heavy net insider selling over the last six months.

Strengths

  • Share price of $12.15, outside penny-stock territory.
  • Free cash flow is positive; the company funds itself.
  • The price is 240.3% above its 52-week low.
  • Share count changed − 87.2% in a year; ownership is preserved.

Next Steps

  1. Trading volume is low. Expect wider spreads and price impact on larger orders.
  2. Forward P/E of 199.2. Much of the expectation may be priced in; compare the valuation with sector peers.
  3. Earnings in 0 days. The result can move the price sharply; account for that risk.
  4. Write down the concrete reason for growth: a new product, a contract, management or an industry shift. If you cannot say it in one sentence, waiting may be the better choice.

What You Should Check

  1. Is there a concrete reason for growth, and can you say it in one sentence?
  2. Where does the valuation sit against sector peers?
  3. Does the chart confirm the trend, or are you fighting a falling price?
  4. Is the position size within the loss you could bear if you are wrong?

The score averages the measurable rules with category weights: growth 30, price strength 20, profitability 15, health 15, ownership 10, catalysts 10. A pass counts in full, a caution half; rules we cannot measure stay out. A stock that hits an elimination rule is capped at 45. Growth above 300% counts as a base effect and is marked as a caution.

Sources: prices from Alpaca, fundamentals and analyst ratings from Finnhub, share counts from SEC filings, famous funds from 13F reports, targets and report scores from the site's own analyses.

This is not investment advice; it is a research tool that measures fit with the rules.

Alpaca · SIPUpdated 16:00 NY15 Minutes Delayed

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