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CBRS Rule Check

Cerebras Systems Inc against the rules: which it passes, where it lags and what to look at next.

Price
$120.07
Market Cap
$28.5 B
Next Earnings
In 16 Days

Flags First

1Rules Failed2Cautions
  • Distance from 52-Week HighFail
  • Cash RunwayCaution
  • Distance from 52-Week LowCaution

Fit ScoreNot Enough Data

Too few rules could be measured; the score does not give a verdict.

41% of Rules Measured · The ring's slices are the categories: length is weight, fill is score.

Company Analysis

Stock Selection Focus · Tool: Claude

Claude writes a second opinion independent of the site's own analysis; while the market is open it reads the live price.

Categories

GrowthNo DataWeight 30 · 0 of 4 Measured
Price Strength25Weight 20 · 2 of 4 Measured
ProfitabilityNo DataWeight 15 · 0 of 2 Measured
Financial Health83Weight 15 · 3 of 3 Measured
Ownership100Weight 10 · 1 of 3 Measured
Catalyst SignalsNo DataWeight 10 · 0 of 3 Measured

Elimination · PassTiny or thinly traded stocks move on a handful of orders; a position you cannot exit when needed is not worth holding.

Rule by Rule

41% of Rules Measured

Elimination

3 of 3 Measured
  • Market CapAt least $300M$28.5 BPass
  • Share PriceAt least $5$120.07Pass
  • Liquidity500K shares and $10M traded per day on average7.72 M SharesPass

Growth

0 of 4 Measured
  • Quarterly EPS GrowthAt least 10% year over year—No Data
  • Quarterly Sales GrowthAt least 10% year over year—No Data
  • Three-Year EPS GrowthAt least 10% annualized—No Data
  • Source of GrowthSales should grow at least 5% while profit grows—No Data

Profitability

0 of 2 Measured
  • ProfitabilityPositive trailing twelve-month EPS—No Data
  • MarginsGross, operating and net margins positive—No Data

Financial Health

3 of 3 Measured
  • Current RatioAt least 1 — current assets cover current liabilities5.82Pass
  • Debt / EquityAt most 1; above 2 fails0.10Pass
  • Cash RunwayPositive free cash flow or at least two years of cash13.3 YrsCaution

Price Strength

2 of 4 Measured
  • Versus the MarketSix-month return not behind the S&P 500—No Data
  • Versus Its SectorSix-month return not behind the sector fund—No Data
  • Distance from 52-Week LowAt least 30% above the low13.1%Caution
  • Distance from 52-Week HighAt most 25% below the high68.9%Fail

Ownership

1 of 3 Measured
  • DilutionShare count up at most 2% a year—No Data
  • Famous Fund InterestAmong tracked funds, adders not outnumbered by trimmers4 FundsPass
  • Insider ActivityNo heavy net selling over six months—No Data

Catalyst Signals

0 of 3 Measured
  • Analyst TrendShare of buy ratings rising over three months0.0 PtsNo Data
  • Upside to TargetAt least 10% to the average target—No Data
  • Quality of the Last ReportEarnings analysis score of at least 60—No Data

In each lane the line is the rule's threshold, the dot is the stock's value and the bar between them is the gap. Market cap, price and volume use a log scale: one step is ten times. A value beyond the end sits at the edge as an open dot.

Rule Bench

61ScoreNot Enough Data
  • 6Passed
  • 2Caution
  • 1Failed
  • 13No Data
CBRS

Each lamp is a rule: green passed, amber caution, red failed, grey no data. Tap a station to see its rules.

Weaknesses

  • The price is 68.9% below its 52-week high.
  • Burning cash; at this pace cash lasts about 13.3 years.
  • The price is close to its 52-week low, only 13.1% above it.

Strengths

  • Market cap of $28.5 B, comfortably above the size floor.
  • Share price of $120.07, outside penny-stock territory.
  • About 7.72 M shares trade a day; positions open and close easily.
  • Current ratio of 5.82; short-term obligations are well covered.
  • Debt to equity of 0.10; a light debt load.
  • 4 tracked famous funds hold it and interest is not fading.

Next Steps

  1. The company is burning cash. Look for the funding plan (debt, share issuance, cash buffer) in the last report.
  2. The stock is far from its high. Do not treat it as cheap before finding why it fell (results, competition, sector); wait for the price to confirm a turn.
  3. Forward P/E of 268.1. Much of the expectation may be priced in; compare the valuation with sector peers.
  4. Write down the concrete reason for growth: a new product, a contract, management or an industry shift. If you cannot say it in one sentence, waiting may be the better choice.

What You Should Check

  1. Is there a concrete reason for growth, and can you say it in one sentence?
  2. Where does the valuation sit against sector peers?
  3. Does the chart confirm the trend, or are you fighting a falling price?
  4. Is the position size within the loss you could bear if you are wrong?

The score averages the measurable rules with category weights: growth 30, price strength 20, profitability 15, health 15, ownership 10, catalysts 10. A pass counts in full, a caution half; rules we cannot measure stay out. A stock that hits an elimination rule is capped at 45. Growth above 300% counts as a base effect and is marked as a caution.

Sources: prices from Alpaca, fundamentals and analyst ratings from Finnhub, share counts from SEC filings, famous funds from 13F reports, targets and report scores from the site's own analyses.

This is not investment advice; it is a research tool that measures fit with the rules.

Alpaca · SIPUpdated 14:24 NY15 Minutes DelayedMay Be Out Of Date

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