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PINE Rule Check

Alpine Income Property Trust Inc against the rules: which it passes, where it lags and what to look at next.

Price
$16.39
Market Cap
$294 M

Flags First

5Rules Failed3Cautions
  • Market CapFail
  • LiquidityFail
  • Cash RunwayFail
  • Versus the MarketFail
  • DilutionFail
  • +3 More

Fit ScoreScreened Out

Hits at least one elimination rule; under this approach it stays off the research list whatever its score.

64% of Rules Measured

Company Analysis

Stock Selection Focus · Tool: Claude

Claude writes a second opinion independent of the site's own analysis; while the market is open it reads the live price.

Categories

Growth100Weight 30 · 1 of 4 Measured
Price Strength33Weight 20 · 3 of 4 Measured
Profitability100Weight 15 · 2 of 2 Measured
Financial Health50Weight 15 · 3 of 3 Measured
Ownership50Weight 10 · 2 of 3 Measured
Catalyst SignalsNo DataWeight 10 · 0 of 3 Measured

Elimination · FailMarket Cap, Liquidity

Rule by Rule

64% of Rules Measured

Elimination

3 of 3 Measured
  • Market CapAt least $300M$294 MFail
  • Share PriceAt least $5$16.39Pass
  • Liquidity500K shares and $10M traded per day on average164 K SharesFail

Growth

1 of 4 Measured
  • Quarterly EPS GrowthAt least 10% year over year—No Data
  • Quarterly Sales GrowthAt least 10% year over year+ 40.5%Pass
  • Three-Year EPS GrowthAt least 10% annualized—No Data
  • Source of GrowthSales should grow at least 5% while profit grows+ 40.5%No Data

Profitability

2 of 2 Measured
  • ProfitabilityPositive trailing twelve-month EPS$0.71Pass
  • MarginsGross, operating and net margins positive41.1%Pass

Financial Health

3 of 3 Measured
  • Current RatioAt least 1 — current assets cover current liabilities1.75Pass
  • Debt / EquityAt most 1; above 2 fails1.20Caution
  • Cash RunwayPositive free cash flow or at least two years of cash0.1 YrsFail

Price Strength

3 of 4 Measured
  • Versus the MarketSix-month return not behind the S&P 500− 21.3 PtsFail
  • Versus Its SectorSix-month return not behind the sector fund—No Data
  • Distance from 52-Week LowAt least 30% above the low20.2%Caution
  • Distance from 52-Week HighAt most 25% below the high25.5%Caution

Ownership

2 of 3 Measured
  • DilutionShare count up at most 2% a year+ 26.7%Fail
  • Famous Fund InterestAmong tracked funds, adders not outnumbered by trimmers—No Data
  • Insider ActivityNo heavy net selling over six months+6Pass

Catalyst Signals

0 of 3 Measured
  • Analyst TrendShare of buy ratings rising over three months+ 1.3 PtsNo Data
  • Upside to TargetAt least 10% to the average target—No Data
  • Quality of the Last ReportEarnings analysis score of at least 60—No Data

In each lane the line is the rule's threshold, the dot is the stock's value and the bar between them is the gap. Market cap, price and volume use a log scale: one step is ten times. A value beyond the end sits at the edge as an open dot.

Rule Bench

45ScoreScreened Out
  • 6Passed
  • 3Caution
  • 5Failed
  • 8No Data
PINE

Each lamp is a rule: green passed, amber caution, red failed, grey no data. Tap a station to see its rules.

Weaknesses

  • Market cap of $294 M, below the $300M floor; hits the elimination rule.
  • Thin trading: about 164 K shares a day.
  • Burning cash; at this pace cash lasts about 0.1 years.
  • Trailed the S&P 500 by 21.3 points over six months.
  • Share count up + 26.7% in a year; existing holders are being diluted.
  • Debt to equity of 1.20; a heavy debt load.
  • The price is close to its 52-week low, only 20.2% above it.
  • The price is 25.5% below its 52-week high.

Strengths

  • Share price of $16.39, outside penny-stock territory.
  • Sales grew + 40.5% year over year last quarter.
  • Earned $0.71 per share over the last twelve months.
  • Gross, operating and net margins are all positive; operating margin 41.1%.
  • Current ratio of 1.75; short-term obligations are well covered.
  • Net insider buying over the last six months.

Next Steps

  1. Trading volume is low. Expect wider spreads and price impact on larger orders.
  2. The company is burning cash. Look for the funding plan (debt, share issuance, cash buffer) in the last report.
  3. The price is just leaving its low. Watch for a lasting move above the 50- and 200-day averages to see the trend settle.
  4. It lags while the market or the sector rises. Compare it with the sector's leaders; lagging may have a reason.
  5. The share count is rising. Check how much growth stays per share: buybacks or new issuance?
  6. Write down the concrete reason for growth: a new product, a contract, management or an industry shift. If you cannot say it in one sentence, waiting may be the better choice.

What You Should Check

  1. Is there a concrete reason for growth, and can you say it in one sentence?
  2. Where does the valuation sit against sector peers?
  3. Does the chart confirm the trend, or are you fighting a falling price?
  4. Is the position size within the loss you could bear if you are wrong?

The score averages the measurable rules with category weights: growth 30, price strength 20, profitability 15, health 15, ownership 10, catalysts 10. A pass counts in full, a caution half; rules we cannot measure stay out. A stock that hits an elimination rule is capped at 45. Growth above 300% counts as a base effect and is marked as a caution.

Sources: prices from Alpaca, fundamentals and analyst ratings from Finnhub, share counts from SEC filings, famous funds from 13F reports, targets and report scores from the site's own analyses.

This is not investment advice; it is a research tool that measures fit with the rules.

Alpaca · SIPUpdated 15:54 NY15 Minutes DelayedMay Be Out Of Date

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