WOOF Rule Check
Petco Health and Wellness Company Inc against the rules: which it passes, where it lags and what to look at next.
- Price
- $2.48
- Market Cap
- $804 M
- Next Earnings
- In 27 Days
Flags First
- Share PriceFail
- Three-Year EPS GrowthFail
- Versus the MarketFail
- LiquidityCaution
- Quarterly Sales GrowthCaution
- +6 More
Fit ScoreScreened Out
Hits at least one elimination rule; under this approach it stays off the research list whatever its score.
73% of Rules Measured
Company Analysis
- No report for this focus yet.
Claude writes a second opinion independent of the site's own analysis; while the market is open it reads the live price.
Categories
Elimination · FailShare Price
Rule by Rule
Elimination
3 of 3 Measured- Market CapAt least $300M$804 MPass
- Share PriceAt least $5$2.48Fail
- Liquidity500K shares and $10M traded per day on average2.18 M SharesCaution
Growth
4 of 4 Measured- Quarterly EPS GrowthAt least 10% year over year+ 172.2%Pass
- Quarterly Sales GrowthAt least 10% year over year+ 0.1%Caution
- Three-Year EPS GrowthAt least 10% annualized− 54.7%Fail
- Source of GrowthSales should grow at least 5% while profit grows+ 0.1%Caution
Profitability
2 of 2 Measured- ProfitabilityPositive trailing twelve-month EPS$0.10Pass
- MarginsGross, operating and net margins positive2.0%Pass
Financial Health
3 of 3 Measured- Current RatioAt least 1 — current assets cover current liabilities0.90Caution
- Debt / EquityAt most 1; above 2 fails1.22Caution
- Cash RunwayPositive free cash flow or at least two years of cash—Pass
Price Strength
3 of 4 Measured- Versus the MarketSix-month return not behind the S&P 500− 23.2 PtsFail
- Versus Its SectorSix-month return not behind the sector fund—No Data
- Distance from 52-Week LowAt least 30% above the low15.9%Caution
- Distance from 52-Week HighAt most 25% below the high35.9%Caution
Ownership
1 of 3 Measured- DilutionShare count up at most 2% a year+ 4.7%Caution
- Famous Fund InterestAmong tracked funds, adders not outnumbered by trimmers—No Data
- Insider ActivityNo heavy net selling over six months−22No Data
Catalyst Signals
0 of 3 Measured- Analyst TrendShare of buy ratings rising over three months0.0 PtsNo Data
- Upside to TargetAt least 10% to the average target—No Data
- Quality of the Last ReportEarnings analysis score of at least 60—No Data
In each lane the line is the rule's threshold, the dot is the stock's value and the bar between them is the gap. Market cap, price and volume use a log scale: one step is ten times. A value beyond the end sits at the edge as an open dot.
Rule Bench
- 5Passed
- 8Caution
- 3Failed
- 6No Data
Each lamp is a rule: green passed, amber caution, red failed, grey no data. Tap a station to see its rules.
Weaknesses
- Share price of $2.48, below $5; hits the elimination rule.
- Three-year EPS growth of − 54.7% a year, below the 10% floor.
- Trailed the S&P 500 by 23.2 points over six months.
- Thin trading: about 2.18 M shares a day.
- Sales changed + 0.1% year over year last quarter, below the 10% floor.
- Profit is growing but sales grew + 0.1%; growth may not come from the business itself.
- Current ratio of 0.90; short-term liabilities exceed current assets.
- Debt to equity of 1.22; a heavy debt load.
- The price is close to its 52-week low, only 15.9% above it.
- The price is 35.9% below its 52-week high.
- Share count up + 4.7% in a year; existing holders are being diluted.
Strengths
- Market cap of $804 M, comfortably above the size floor.
- EPS grew + 172.2% year over year last quarter.
- Earned $0.10 per share over the last twelve months.
- Gross, operating and net margins are all positive; operating margin 2.0%.
- Free cash flow is positive; the company funds itself.
Next Steps
- Trading volume is low. Expect wider spreads and price impact on larger orders.
- The price is just leaving its low. Watch for a lasting move above the 50- and 200-day averages to see the trend settle.
- It lags while the market or the sector rises. Compare it with the sector's leaders; lagging may have a reason.
- Profit is outgrowing sales. Check whether margin expansion is lasting (pricing power) or temporary (cost cuts, one-offs).
- The share count is rising. Check how much growth stays per share: buybacks or new issuance?
- Write down the concrete reason for growth: a new product, a contract, management or an industry shift. If you cannot say it in one sentence, waiting may be the better choice.
What You Should Check
- Is there a concrete reason for growth, and can you say it in one sentence?
- Where does the valuation sit against sector peers?
- Does the chart confirm the trend, or are you fighting a falling price?
- Is the position size within the loss you could bear if you are wrong?
The score averages the measurable rules with category weights: growth 30, price strength 20, profitability 15, health 15, ownership 10, catalysts 10. A pass counts in full, a caution half; rules we cannot measure stay out. A stock that hits an elimination rule is capped at 45. Growth above 300% counts as a base effect and is marked as a caution.
Sources: prices from Alpaca, fundamentals and analyst ratings from Finnhub, share counts from SEC filings, famous funds from 13F reports, targets and report scores from the site's own analyses.
This is not investment advice; it is a research tool that measures fit with the rules.
Alpaca · SIPUpdated 16:00 NY15 Minutes Delayed
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